Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.058930 0.066813 0.074878 0.083716 0.093098 0.102734 0.113350
2025-08-31 0.044164 0.055415 0.067523 0.081380 0.096669 0.112908 0.131346
2025-09-07 0.036370 0.049703 0.064649 0.082325 0.102374 0.124157 0.149377
2025-09-14 0.031141 0.045949 0.063147 0.084044 0.108263 0.135033 0.166477
2025-09-21 0.028019 0.044178 0.063512 0.087517 0.115806 0.147483 0.185084
2025-09-28 0.024350 0.041253 0.062122 0.088603 0.120323 0.156284 0.199394
2025-10-05 0.024020 0.042504 0.065751 0.095619 0.131723 0.172932 0.222596
2025-10-12 0.020386 0.038974 0.063116 0.094786 0.133644 0.178482 0.232980
2025-10-19 0.018238 0.037247 0.062602 0.096422 0.138398 0.187238 0.246979
2025-10-26 0.015916 0.035019 0.061250 0.096859 0.141587 0.194068 0.258674
2025-11-02 0.014257 0.033590 0.060837 0.098389 0.146032 0.202327 0.271990
2025-11-09 0.012332 0.031528 0.059410 0.098492 0.148624 0.208307 0.282576
2025-11-16 0.009590 0.027877 0.055673 0.095590 0.147587 0.210132 0.288554
2025-11-23 0.007368 0.024743 0.052457 0.093239 0.147160 0.212661 0.295375
2025-11-30 0.006248 0.023428 0.051808 0.094277 0.150995 0.220342 0.308320
2025-12-07 0.005440 0.022582 0.051791 0.096131 0.155844 0.229246 0.322722
2025-12-14 0.005087 0.022630 0.053136 0.099867 0.163132 0.241159 0.340756
2025-12-21 0.004304 0.021590 0.052688 0.101034 0.167036 0.248868 0.353708
2025-12-28 0.004692 0.023307 0.056705 0.108566 0.179320 0.267008 0.379319
2026-01-04 0.003662 0.021465 0.054855 0.107673 0.180479 0.271287 0.388112
2026-01-11 0.003156 0.020796 0.054875 0.109427 0.185108 0.279880 0.402138
2026-01-18 0.002542 0.019667 0.054046 0.109896 0.187997 0.286272 0.413470
2026-01-25 0.002145 0.019044 0.054035 0.111534 0.192431 0.294595 0.427156